Economy markets

Economy odds and prediction markets

Fed rate decisions, CPI prints, jobs reports, GDP releases, and recession indicators.

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129 active economy markets

Market ↕ YES ↕ Volume ↕ Open Interest ↕ Δ 30d ↕
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? $999,207 $70,765 -0.7pp
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? $983,175 $79,351 +0.3pp
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? 17¢ $977,958 $1,268 +4.0pp
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? 14¢ $99,522 $4,307 +0.0pp
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? $99,508 $39,443 -14.8pp
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? $99,159 $5,865 -0.2pp
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026? 13¢ $98,982 $283 -10.0pp
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? $98,923 $32,712 +4.5pp
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? 32¢ $98,897 $2,041 +7.0pp
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner 24¢ $98,536 $140,831 ·
Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 TOUR Championship? $98,444 $988 -2.7pp
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? $97,928 $7,258 ·
Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? $97,855 $19,930 -79.0pp
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? $97,784 $23,150 -1.0pp
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026? $97,267 $45,626 ·
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? 63¢ $97,207 $7,678 -4.0pp
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? 46¢ $96,938 $1,393 -5.5pp
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? 20¢ $96,627 $10,803 +2.0pp
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? 77¢ $96,449 $19,566 ·
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch? 14¢ $96,217 $7,632 -1.5pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 7800 and 7824.9999 on Aug 13, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,800 to 7,824.9999 28¢ $28,442 $5,658 ·
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 83¢ $22,504 $2,185 +34.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 7775 and 7799.9999 on Aug 13, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,775 to 7,799.9999 65¢ $19,847 $3,157 ·
Will the S&P 500 be between 7750 and 7774.9999 on Aug 13, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,750 to 7,774.9999 $18,587 $5,040 ·
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 82¢ $15,685 $1,969 +35.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 74¢ $15,635 $1,059 +48.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 42¢ $15,315 $1,733 -4.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 24¢ $10,562 $1,684 -11.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 17¢ $10,252 $2,050 -17.0pp
Will Truist fail by end of 2026? $9,973 $463 +1.1pp
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 13? 17¢ $9,969 $689 ·
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in August? 10¢ $9,946 $957 -2.0pp
Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Very Strong Typhoon" at Japan landfall? 99¢ $9,943 $2,236 ·
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026? 89¢ $9,942 $7,266 ·
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? $9,919 $30,126 ·
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in August? 35¢ $9,916 $360 +0.5pp
Will FK Termez Surkhon win on 2026-08-13? $9,909 $58,714 ·
Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? 24¢ $9,903 $509 +6.5pp
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? $9,882 $31,185 ·
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? $9,881 $8,585 ·
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in August? 32¢ $9,837 $1,020 ·
Will Petr Yan fight Deiveson Figueiredo next? $9,827 $1,715 ·
Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? $9,820 $1,272 -2.0pp
ITF M25 Koksijde Men: Nicolas Robert vs Michael Geerts $9,819 $80,263 ·
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? 17¢ $9,818 $402 -2.5pp
Will UNI reach $15.50 by December 31, 2026? $9,816 $2,752 -3.0pp
APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch? 79¢ $9,797 $272 -3.6pp
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? 59¢ $9,783 $3,010 ·
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? $9,778 $24,244 ·
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? $9,778 $54,409 ·
Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? $9,775 $31,154 ·
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $15B by December 31? 28¢ $9,772 $291 -5.5pp
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company? 17¢ $9,766 $170 -0.5pp
Will Noble launch a token by December 31, 2026? $9,743 $772 -6.0pp
Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026? 11¢ $9,728 $584 +5.2pp
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026? $9,719 $533 -2.1pp
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026? 18¢ $9,711 $1,242 +0.5pp
Exact Score: Beşiktaş JK 0 - 1 FC Hradec Králové? 25¢ $9,695 $2,010 ·
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? $9,676 $29,150 ·
LoL: The Otter Side vs NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS - Game 2 Winner 57¢ $9,671 $92,785 ·
Will Bukayo Saka win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? $9,656 $2,334 ·
Exact Score: PFK CSKA Sofia 3 - 3 MH Maccabi Tel Aviv? $9,655 $121,917 ·
Will G2 Esports Win the Shortest Game in LEC 2026 Summer Split? 18¢ $9,650 $2,262 +0.5pp
Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next? 26¢ $9,646 $1,617 ·
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? 20¢ $9,621 $1,558 -1.0pp
Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026? $9,620 $1,871 -0.1pp
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026? 94¢ $9,613 $3,056 +1.0pp
Will James Comey be arrested before 2027? $9,602 $17,042 -1.6pp
Will Petr Yan fight Payton Talbott next? $9,600 $2,083 ·
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? $9,576 $17,425 -0.2pp
Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 2.5 54¢ $9,568 $43,910 ·
Hurupay FDV above $40M one day after launch? 10¢ $9,558 $77 +2.7pp
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%? 39¢ $9,552 $1,069 +1.5pp
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 13? 99¢ $9,550 $49,612 ·
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? $9,543 $34,601 ·
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? $9,541 $89,783 ·
Will Z.ai be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? $9,533 $1,906 ·
Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch? 38¢ $9,517 $831 +5.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.25% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 83¢ $7,813 $2,902 -3.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 83¢ $7,274 $1,091 +0.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.75% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 83¢ $5,994 $1,394 +19.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.25% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 82¢ $5,900 $1,093 +46.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.50% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 83¢ $5,835 $1,026 +2.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.50% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 75¢ $5,339 $980 -10.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 92¢ $4,845 $978 -7.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 7725 and 7749.9999 on Aug 13, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,725 to 7,749.9999 $4,180 $2,053 ·
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.75% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 89¢ $3,468 $1,024 -10.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting? 54¢ $3,416 $596 +14.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.75% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 96¢ $3,272 $600 +14.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 7825 and 7849.9999 on Aug 13, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,825 to 7,849.9999 $3,270 $1,175 ·
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.50% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 86¢ $2,690 $1,131 -13.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting? $2,572 $901 -8.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 96¢ $1,707 $931 +2.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.25% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 91¢ $1,704 $810 -8.0pp
Will above 125000 jobs be added in November 2026: 125,000 17¢ $1,554 $177 ·
Will above 30000 jobs be added in October 2026: 30,000 67¢ $1,360 $50 -2.0pp
Will above 50000 jobs be added in October 2026: 50,000 54¢ $834 $41 ·
Will above 40000 jobs be added in October 2026: 40,000 62¢ $762 $110 -3.0pp
Will above 30000 jobs be added in November 2026: Above 30,000 67¢ $629 $134 -4.0pp
Will above -25000 jobs be added in November 2026: -25,000 84¢ $621 $80 +6.0pp
Will above 60000 jobs be added in October 2026: 60,000 52¢ $582 $21 ·
Will above 50000 jobs be added in November 2026: 50,000 54¢ $490 $99 ·
Will above 0 jobs be added in November 2026? 78¢ $489 $250 +5.0pp
Will above 60000 jobs be added in November 2026: 60,000 56¢ $364 $139 ·
Will above 10000 jobs be added in November 2026: 10,000 75¢ $332 $88 -5.0pp
Will above 90000 jobs be added in November 2026: 90,000 36¢ $320 $30 -3.0pp
Will above 80000 jobs be added in November 2026: 80,000 40¢ $305 $30 -6.0pp
Will above 90000 jobs be added in October 2026: 90,000 40¢ $290 $4 ·
Will above 70000 jobs be added in November 2026: 70,000 52¢ $287 $42 ·
Will above 40000 jobs be added in November 2026: 40,000 67¢ $252 $3 ·
Will above 20000 jobs be added in November 2026: 20,000 75¢ $236 $118 ·
Will above 80000 jobs be added in October 2026: 80,000 45¢ $185 $1 ·
Will above 70000 jobs be added in October 2026: 70,000 50¢ $159 $3 ·
Will the S&P 500 be between 7675 and 7699.9999 on Aug 13, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,675 to 7,699.9999 $112 $112 ·
Will above 100000 jobs be added in November 2026: 100,000 28¢ $83 $11 -2.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 7850 and 7874.9999 on Aug 13, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,850 to 7,874.9999 $62 $62 ·
Will the S&P 500 be between 7700 and 7724.9999 on Aug 13, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,700 to 7,724.9999 $54 $54 ·
Will the S&P 500 be above 8074.9999 on Aug 13, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 8,075.0099 or above $0 $0 ·
Will the S&P 500 be below 7375 on Aug 13, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,374.99 or below $0 $0 ·
Will the S&P 500 be between 8050 and 8074.9999 on Aug 13, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 8,050 to 8,074.9999 $0 $0 ·
Will the S&P 500 be between 8025 and 8049.9999 on Aug 13, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 8,025 to 8,049.9999 $0 $0 ·
Will the S&P 500 be between 8000 and 8024.9999 on Aug 13, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 8,000 to 8,024.9999 $0 $0 ·
Will the S&P 500 be between 7975 and 7999.9999 on Aug 13, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,975 to 7,999.9999 $0 $0 ·
Will the S&P 500 be between 7950 and 7974.9999 on Aug 13, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,950 to 7,974.9999 $0 $0 ·
Will the S&P 500 be between 7925 and 7949.9999 on Aug 13, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,925 to 7,949.9999 $0 $0 ·
Will the S&P 500 be between 7900 and 7924.9999 on Aug 13, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,900 to 7,924.9999 $0 $0 ·
Will the S&P 500 be between 7875 and 7899.9999 on Aug 13, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,875 to 7,899.9999 $0 $0 ·
Will the S&P 500 be between 7650 and 7674.9999 on Aug 13, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,650 to 7,674.9999 $0 $0 ·
Will the S&P 500 be between 7625 and 7649.9999 on Aug 13, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,625 to 7,649.9999 $0 $0 ·
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