Politics markets

Politics odds and prediction markets

Election outcomes, congressional control, policy decisions, and political events tracked on prediction markets.

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49 active politics markets

Market ↕ YES ↕ Volume ↕ Open Interest ↕ Δ 30d ↕
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? $9,999,172 $2,097,573 ·
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $9,724,333 $269,355 ·
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $9,551,001 $325,276 ·
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? $9,534,969 $616,623 +0.1pp
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? $961,002 $1,862,778 ·
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? 36¢ $99,959 $16,668 -1.0pp
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? 23¢ $96,293 $16,168 -8.8pp
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? 80¢ $9,966 $12,911 -3.0pp
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? $9,961 $30,169 -0.3pp
Will the Democratic Party win the AR-01 House seat? $9,914 $9,009 +0.5pp
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? 18¢ $9,905 $15,112 ·
Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027? $9,894 $11,746 +1.0pp
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 2–3%? $9,890 $15,936 ·
Will the Republican Party win the PA-13 House seat? 94¢ $9,886 $17,532 +1.0pp
Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $9,883 $35,674 ·
Will Howard Steven Rance be the Republican nominee for FL-09? $9,866 $13,907 ·
Will Aldo Rebelo finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $9,865 $31,422 ·
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026? $9,864 $10,115 -0.1pp
Will Lucas Ribeiro win the Governor of Paraíba election? 74¢ $9,845 $8,309 +0.0pp
Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? $9,836 $11,088 -0.3pp
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-12 House seat? $9,834 $20,435 ·
Will the Republican Party win the PA-06 House seat? $9,832 $17,248 ·
Will the Republican Party win the PA-11 House seat? 90¢ $9,832 $17,024 ·
Will Steve Friess be the WY-AL Republican nominee? 55¢ $9,827 $1,743 ·
Will Jack Reed be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island? 97¢ $9,816 $9,220 +0.4pp
Will the Republican Party win the AL-06 House seat? 93¢ $9,803 $18,763 -0.5pp
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-10 House seat? 93¢ $9,798 $21,700 ·
Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat? 11¢ $9,770 $15,132 -0.5pp
Will the Republican Party win the NC-02 House seat? $9,768 $13,633 +0.1pp
Will the Republican Party win the IL-16 House seat? 91¢ $9,758 $18,850 ·
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-12 House seat? $9,718 $16,133 ·
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-02 House seat? $9,708 $19,553 ·
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? 19¢ $9,700 $12,727 ·
Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027? $9,681 $14,121 ·
Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2027? $9,673 $14,409 -2.4pp
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? $9,666 $795 -2.0pp
Will Trump deport 200-300k people? $9,646 $9,967 ·
Will Aq Jol win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? 13¢ $9,634 $24,617 +0.5pp
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in August 2026? $9,630 $10,919 ·
Will PI get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? 30¢ $9,626 $33,316 -0.3pp
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026? 95¢ $9,612 $18,585 ·
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-22 House seat? $9,589 $22,725 ·
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-05 House seat? 93¢ $9,583 $17,499 -1.0pp
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-14 House seat? $9,559 $19,886 ·
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-05 House seat? $9,554 $21,725 ·
Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections? 96¢ $9,528 $14,672 -0.2pp
Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026? $9,525 $26,533 -0.3pp
Will the Republican Party win the MN-03 House seat? $9,522 $16,101 ·
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-08 House seat? 13¢ $9,514 $10,392 +3.5pp
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