Biggest movers · 50 markets

Markets making the biggest moves

Where the price has moved the most since we started tracking. Big moves mean new information hit the market , or that sentiment shifted without much new data.

Market	Platform	YES	Volume	Δ since start
Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft m	Polymarket	1¢	$97,855	-79.0pp
Will there be more than 6 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Eastern Pacif	Kalshi	47¢	$497	-52.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.00% following the Fed'	Kalshi	74¢	$15,635	+48.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.25% following the Fed'	Kalshi	82¢	$5,900	+46.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed'	Kalshi	82¢	$15,685	+35.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed'	Kalshi	83¢	$22,504	+34.0pp
Will the high temp in NYC be 85-86° on Aug 13, 2026: 85° to 86°	Kalshi	57¢	$21,404	+28.0pp
Will the high temp in NYC be <85° on Aug 13, 2026: 84° or below	Kalshi	37¢	$29,039	-21.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.75% following the Fed'	Kalshi	83¢	$5,994	+19.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed'	Kalshi	17¢	$10,252	-17.0pp
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Polymarket	2¢	$99,508	-14.8pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed'	Kalshi	54¢	$3,416	+14.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.75% following the Fed'	Kalshi	96¢	$3,272	+14.0pp
Will there be more than 7 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Eastern Pacif	Kalshi	34¢	$266	+14.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.50% following the Fed'	Kalshi	86¢	$2,690	-13.0pp
Will the high temp in LA be 76-77° on Aug 13, 2026: 76° to 77°	Kalshi	62¢	$18,796	+11.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed'	Kalshi	24¢	$10,562	-11.0pp
Will the high temp in Chicago be <76° on Aug 13, 2026: 75° or below	Kalshi	1¢	$3,947	-10.0pp
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	13¢	$98,982	-10.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.50% following the Fed'	Kalshi	75¢	$5,339	-10.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.75% following the Fed'	Kalshi	89¢	$3,468	-10.0pp
Will the high temp in LA be 74-75° on Aug 13, 2026: 74° to 75°	Kalshi	3¢	$151,271	-9.0pp
Will the high temp in Chicago be 76-77° on Aug 13, 2026: 76° to 77°	Kalshi	30¢	$26,842	+9.0pp
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Polymarket	23¢	$96,293	-8.8pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed'	Kalshi	9¢	$2,572	-8.0pp
Will there be more than 13 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Paci	Kalshi	9¢	$62	-8.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.25% following the Fed'	Kalshi	91¢	$1,704	-8.0pp
Will there be more than 9 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacif	Kalshi	52¢	$177	-8.0pp
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	32¢	$98,897	+7.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.00% following the Fed'	Kalshi	92¢	$4,845	-7.0pp
Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026?	Polymarket	24¢	$9,903	+6.5pp
Will the high temp in Chicago be 80-81° on Aug 13, 2026: 80° to 81°	Kalshi	22¢	$16,446	+6.0pp
Will Noble launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	9¢	$9,743	-6.0pp
Will above 80000 jobs be added in November 2026: 80,000	Kalshi	40¢	$305	-6.0pp
Will above -25000 jobs be added in November 2026: -25,000	Kalshi	84¢	$621	+6.0pp
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $15B by December 31?	Polymarket	28¢	$9,772	-5.5pp
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?	Polymarket	46¢	$96,938	-5.5pp
Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026?	Polymarket	11¢	$9,728	+5.2pp
Will above 0 jobs be added in November 2026?	Kalshi	78¢	$489	+5.0pp
Will above 10000 jobs be added in November 2026: 10,000	Kalshi	75¢	$332	-5.0pp
Will there be more than 3 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Eastern Pacif	Kalshi	77¢	$4	+5.0pp
Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Polymarket	38¢	$9,517	+5.0pp
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Polymarket	6¢	$98,923	+4.5pp
Will there be more than 5 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacif	Kalshi	90¢	$0	-4.5pp
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by August 31?	Polymarket	2¢	$97,257	-4.2pp
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by August 31?	Polymarket	7¢	$9,718	+4.1pp
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	Polymarket	63¢	$97,207	-4.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed'	Kalshi	42¢	$15,315	-4.0pp
Will there be more than 5 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Eastern Pacif	Kalshi	51¢	$394	+4.0pp
Will there be more than 7 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacif	Kalshi	77¢	$16	-4.0pp

Big price moves are the clearest sign the market is processing new information. Sometimes it's a news event, sometimes it's a weather forecast update, sometimes it's just the market catching up to data that was published days ago.

A +10pp move on a market that was 50/50 means someone (or the crowd) now thinks the event is 10 percentage points more likely than before. That's a meaningful shift in implied probability.