Sports · 25 match markets on Limitless

Match markets, priced by the crowd.

Every open football and tennis match on Limitless, a crypto prediction exchange, with the Polymarket price beside it when the same match trades there. Each price is the cost of a Yes contract on that result, in cents, so a 68¢ favorite is a 68 percent crowd estimate. Sorted by kickoff, Eastern time.

Updated 12:04 AM ET, Oct 13 · prices refresh with each site build

25matches
5competitions
21kick off today
5in play
7also on Polymarket
$5,554traded

Kalshi football against the sportsbooks

For every NFL and college football game on Kalshi in the next four days, we compare what a Yes contract costs on Kalshi, with Kalshi's fee included, against the sportsbooks' consensus with their margin removed and against Polymarket's price for the same game. A double-checked pick is a side that Kalshi sells for less than both of them.

No double-checked picks right now. Across the 40 games we could match, the typical Kalshi side costs 2.2¢ more than the sportsbooks once its fee is added, so Kalshi's football prices are fair to slightly expensive this week. The closest calls are below.

Closest to a discount

SideKalshi costSportsbooksPolymarketDifference
Kent St. to beat South FloridaCollege football, Sat Oct 17, 7 PM ET Kalshi 9.6¢ Sportsbooks 10.1¢9 books Polymarket not listed +0.6¢
Colorado to beat UtahCollege football, Sat Oct 17, 10:15 PM ET Kalshi 14.8¢ Sportsbooks 14.9¢8 books Polymarket not listed +0.1¢
Colorado St. to beat Texas St.College football, Thu Oct 15, 8 PM ET Kalshi 18.0¢ Sportsbooks 17.8¢9 books Polymarket not listed -0.1¢
Charlotte to beat TempleCollege football, Sat Oct 17, 1 PM ET Kalshi 8.5¢ Sportsbooks 8.3¢9 books Polymarket not listed -0.2¢
Syracuse to beat LouisvilleCollege football, Sat Oct 17, 7:30 PM ET Kalshi 16.9¢ Sportsbooks 16.3¢9 books Polymarket not listed -0.6¢
Oklahoma to beat KentuckyCollege football, Sat Oct 17, 7:30 PM ET Kalshi 70.5¢ Sportsbooks 69.5¢9 books Polymarket not listed -0.9¢
Arizona St. to beat Texas TechCollege football, Sat Oct 17, 3:30 PM ET Kalshi 16.9¢ Sportsbooks 15.9¢9 books Polymarket not listed -1.0¢
Sacramento St. to beat OhioCollege football, Sat Oct 17, 10 PM ET Kalshi 18.0¢ Sportsbooks 17.0¢9 books Polymarket not listed -1.0¢

Difference is the sportsbooks' price minus Kalshi's cost, so a positive number means Kalshi sells that side for less. Kalshi's fee per contract is 7 percent of the price times one minus the price, and a limit order at the bid usually costs less than the numbers shown. Sportsbook prices are averaged across US books and were fetched for this build.

Show prices as

Biggest movers today

How far each favorite's Yes price has moved since the first build of the day. A line that moves this much is the crowd changing its mind, usually on news, a lineup, or money arriving.

MatchThis morningNowMove
RB Bragantino vs CruzeiroRB Bragantino to win, in play 46¢1:03 PM ET, Oct 12 99¢ ▲53¢
Katerina Siniakova vs Liudmila SamsonovaLiudmila Samsonova to win, in play 52¢1:03 PM ET, Oct 12 91¢ ▲39¢
Dayana Yastremska vs Cristina BucsaDayana Yastremska to win, in play 53¢1:03 PM ET, Oct 12 76¢ ▲23¢
Kimberly Birrell vs Katie VolynetsKatie Volynets to win, in play 62¢1:03 PM ET, Oct 12 51¢ ▼11¢
Mayar Sherif vs Maja ChwalinskaMaja Chwalinska to win 79¢1:03 PM ET, Oct 12 83¢ ▲4¢
Yulia Putintseva vs Zeynep SonmezYulia Putintseva to win 54¢5:03 PM ET, Oct 12 57¢ ▲3¢

The two venues agree within a cent on 6 of the 7 shared matches. The rest are below.

Where the two venues disagree

Same match, two crowds. The gap is the Limitless Yes price minus the Polymarket Yes price for the Limitless favorite. A big gap means one venue thinks the favorite is a lot safer than the other does.

MatchLimitlessPolymarketGap
Dayana Yastremska vs Cristina BucsaDayana Yastremska to win 76¢ 70¢ +6¢

Brasil Série A Football

Kickoff Match Limitless, Yes price by result Polymarket, same results Favorite Traded
Mon Oct 12, 8:00 PM ET in play RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro Limitless book 101¢ Not listed on Polymarket RB Bragantino 99¢▲17¢ $5,418

WTA Wuhan Open Tennis

Kickoff Match Limitless, Yes price by result Polymarket, same results Favorite Traded
Mon Oct 12, 10:00 PM ET in play Dayana Yastremska vs Cristina BucsaWTA Wuhan - 1/32-finals Limitless book 100¢ Polymarket book 100¢ Limitless +6¢ on Dayana Yastremska Dayana Yastremska 76¢▲23¢ $7
Mon Oct 12, 10:00 PM ET in play Katerina Siniakova vs Liudmila SamsonovaWTA Wuhan - 1/32-finals Limitless book 100¢ Polymarket book 100¢ Liudmila Samsonova 91¢▲40¢ $0
Mon Oct 12, 10:00 PM ET in play Kimberly Birrell vs Katie VolynetsWTA Wuhan - 1/32-finals Limitless book 100¢ Not listed on Polymarket Katie Volynets 51¢▼12¢ $0
Tue Oct 13, 12:30 AM ET Hanyu Guo vs Sorana CirsteaWTA Wuhan - 1/32-finals Limitless book 100¢ Polymarket book 100¢ Sorana Cirstea 88¢▲1¢ $58
Tue Oct 13, 12:30 AM ET Katie Boulter vs Diana ShnaiderWTA Wuhan - 1/32-finals Limitless book 100¢ Polymarket book 100¢ Diana Shnaider 78¢ $0
Tue Oct 13, 12:30 AM ET Mayar Sherif vs Maja ChwalinskaWTA Wuhan - 1/32-finals Limitless book 100¢ Polymarket book 100¢ Maja Chwalinska 83¢▲1¢ $0
Tue Oct 13, 12:30 AM ET Yulia Putintseva vs Zeynep SonmezWTA Wuhan - 1/32-finals Limitless book 100¢ Not listed on Polymarket Yulia Putintseva 57¢▲1¢ $8
Tue Oct 13, 2:00 AM ET Daria Kasatkina vs Jelena OstapenkoWTA Wuhan - 1/32-finals Limitless book 100¢ Not listed on Polymarket Jelena Ostapenko 55¢ $0
Tue Oct 13, 2:00 AM ET Daria Snigur vs Elise MertensWTA Wuhan - 1/32-finals Limitless book 100¢ Polymarket book 100¢ Elise Mertens 67¢▲1¢ $0
Tue Oct 13, 2:00 AM ET Lilli Tagger vs Nikola BartunkovaWTA Wuhan - 1/32-finals Limitless book 100¢ Polymarket book 100¢ Nikola Bartunkova 69¢ $0
Tue Oct 13, 2:00 AM ET Maria Sakkari vs Marta KostyukWTA Wuhan - 1/16-finals Limitless book 100¢ Not listed on Polymarket Marta Kostyuk 65¢ $0
Tue Oct 13, 3:30 AM ET Ann Li vs Camila OsorioWTA Wuhan - 1/32-finals Limitless book 100¢ Not listed on Polymarket Ann Li 57¢ $0

ATP Shanghai Masters Tennis

Kickoff Match Limitless, Yes price by result Polymarket, same results Favorite Traded
Tue Oct 13, 12:00 AM ET in play Alex de Minaur vs Karen KhachanovATP Shanghai - 1/8-finals Limitless book 100¢ Not listed on Polymarket Alex de Minaur 55¢▲1¢ $53
Tue Oct 13, 1:30 AM ET Arthur Gea vs Jakub MensikATP Shanghai - 1/8-finals Limitless book 100¢ Not listed on Polymarket Jakub Mensik 61¢ $0
Tue Oct 13, 6:00 AM ET Alexander Zverev vs Alexander BublikATP Shanghai - 1/8-finals Limitless book 100¢ Not listed on Polymarket Alexander Zverev 70¢ $0

ATP Olbia Challenger Tennis

Kickoff Match Limitless, Yes price by result Polymarket, same results Favorite Traded
Tue Oct 13, 4:00 AM ET Michael Geerts vs Pavel LagutinCatania - 1/16-finals Limitless book 100¢ Not listed on Polymarket Pavel Lagutin 74¢ $0
Tue Oct 13, 4:00 AM ET Michele Ribecai vs Radu Mihai PapoeCatania - 1/16-finals Limitless book 100¢ Not listed on Polymarket Michele Ribecai 55¢ $0
Tue Oct 13, 5:30 AM ET Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico BondioliCatania - 1/16-finals Limitless book 100¢ Not listed on Polymarket Enrico Dalla Valle 65¢▼2¢ $0
Tue Oct 13, 5:30 AM ET Federico Iannaccone vs Filip JianuCatania - 1/16-finals Limitless book 100¢ Not listed on Polymarket Filip Jianu 51¢ $0
Tue Oct 13, 5:30 AM ET Gianluca Cadenasso vs Kai WehneltCatania - 1/16-finals Limitless book 100¢ Not listed on Polymarket Gianluca Cadenasso 71¢▼2¢ $0

WTA Lisboa Belem Open Tennis

Kickoff Match Limitless, Yes price by result Polymarket, same results Favorite Traded
Tue Oct 13, 6:00 AM ET Adrienn Nagy vs Selena JanicijevicLisbon - 1/16-finals Limitless book 100¢ Not listed on Polymarket Adrienn Nagy 50¢ $0
Tue Oct 13, 6:00 AM ET Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde LolliaLisbon - 1/16-finals Limitless book 100¢ Not listed on Polymarket Darja Semenistaja 82¢ $0
Tue Oct 13, 6:00 AM ET Lisa Zaar vs Matilde JorgeLisbon - 1/16-finals Limitless book 100¢ Not listed on Polymarket Lisa Zaar 64¢ $0
Tue Oct 13, 6:00 AM ET Martina Colmegna vs Francesca JonesLisbon - 1/16-finals Limitless book 100¢ Not listed on Polymarket Francesca Jones 90¢ $11
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How the crowd has done

Every match that has settled since this board went up, with the favorite's price at kickoff and what actually happened. A crowd that is well calibrated wins about as often as its prices say it should: favorites priced 70¢ should win about seven times in ten.

51 of 60favorites won
18 of 18priced 80¢ or more
13 of 14priced 65¢ to 79¢
16 of 20priced 50¢ to 64¢
4 of 8priced under 50¢
MatchFavorite at kickoffResult
Atletico-MG vs SantosBrasil Série A, Sun Oct 11, 3:00 PM ET Atletico-MG 43¢ Atletico-MG, favorite
Racing Santander vs ValenciaSpain LaLiga, Sun Oct 11, 3:00 PM ET Racing Santander 42¢ Draw, upset
Racing Santander vs ValenciaSpain LaLiga, Sun Oct 11, 3:00 PM ET Racing Santander 62¢ Racing Santander, favorite
Racing Santander vs ValenciaSpain LaLiga, Sun Oct 11, 3:00 PM ET Racing Santander 57¢ Racing Santander, favorite
Arouca vs EstrelaPortugal Primeira Liga, Sun Oct 11, 3:30 PM ET Arouca 44¢ Arouca, favorite
Palmeiras vs CorinthiansBrasil Série A, Sun Oct 11, 4:30 PM ET Palmeiras 59¢ Palmeiras, favorite
Ignacio Buse vs Zizou BergsATP Shanghai Masters Zizou Bergs 99¢ Zizou Bergs, favorite
1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SVBundesliga 1899 Hoffenheim 61¢ 1899 Hoffenheim, favorite
1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SVBundesliga 1899 Hoffenheim 70¢ 1899 Hoffenheim, favorite
FC Augsburg vs Bayern MünchenBundesliga FC Augsburg 64¢ FC Augsburg, favorite
FC Augsburg vs Bayern MünchenBundesliga FC Augsburg 86¢ FC Augsburg, favorite
FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga FSV Mainz 05 65¢ FSV Mainz 05, favorite
Liverpool vs Manchester CityEnglish Premier League, Sun Oct 11, 11:30 AM ET Liverpool 55¢ Liverpool, favorite
Liverpool vs Manchester CityEnglish Premier League, Sun Oct 11, 11:30 AM ET Manchester City 99¢ Manchester City, favorite
Liverpool vs Manchester CityEnglish Premier League, Sun Oct 11, 11:30 AM ET Liverpool 88¢ Liverpool, favorite
SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04Bundesliga, Sun Oct 11, 11:30 AM ET SC Freiburg 99¢ SC Freiburg, favorite
SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04Bundesliga, Sun Oct 11, 11:30 AM ET FC Schalke 04 50¢ SC Freiburg, upset
Sassuolo vs AC MilanItaly Serie A, Sun Oct 11, 12:00 PM ET AC Milan 46¢ Draw, upset
Real Betis vs OsasunaSpain LaLiga, Sun Oct 11, 12:30 PM ET Real Betis 82¢ Real Betis, favorite
Real Betis vs OsasunaSpain LaLiga, Sun Oct 11, 12:30 PM ET Real Betis 52¢ Real Betis, favorite

How to read this board

The Polymarket column shows the same results priced by Polymarket's traders when that match is listed there too; "Limitless +7¢" under it means Limitless prices the favorite seven cents higher than Polymarket does. The small arrow beside a favorite is how far its price moved since the previous build, and the movers table at the top ranks the day's biggest swings. "book 104¢" under a bar is what that match's Yes prices add up to: the 4¢ over 100 is the market maker's margin, so a lower book total is a cheaper match to trade. Switch prices to decimal or American odds above the board if that is how you read them: a 68¢ Yes price is 1.47 decimal and -213 American.

Each bar splits a match into its possible results. The width of a segment is the current Yes price for that result, which the market treats as its probability. Football has three results, so the three segments usually add up to a little under a dollar, and the gap is the spread traders pay. Tennis has two. The favorite is simply the result with the highest price right now; it moves with every trade, so it is a snapshot of the crowd at build time rather than a prediction from us.

Limitless is a crypto prediction exchange: you trade with a connected wallet and contracts settle on-chain. It is a partner of PicksByOdds. Links on this page carry our referral code once it is active, and PicksByOdds may earn a reward when you sign up through them, at no cost to you. Prices are shown as information. PicksByOdds does not give betting advice, and the other markets we track live on Kalshi and Polymarket.

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